Wave analysis and forecast for 30.06 – 07.07: Downtrend dominates.

Estimated pivot point is at the level of 0.9675.

Analysis: Presumably, on the four-hour timeframe, the formation of the downtrend continues in the third wave 3 of the senior level. Locally it seems that the development of the wave v of 3 continues within which the third wave of the junior level (iii) is being developed. If this assumption is correct, the pair can continue to decline to 0.9500 – 0.9400. Critical level for this scenario is 0.9675.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 0.9675 will trigger further rise in the pair up to 0.9770.