GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 13.01 – 20.01

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 13.01 – 20.01: Downtrend continues.

Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.2313.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.2313 with the target of 1.1185.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.2313 will trigger further rise in the pair to 1.2433.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the fifth wave of the senior level continues. Locally, it is likely that the third wave of the junior level iii of 5 is being developed, within which the wave (ii) has completed. If this assumption is correct, the pair may continue to decline to 1.1885. Critical level for this scenario is 1.2313.

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 13.01 – 20.01

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 13.01 – 20.01: The rise in the pair is likely to continue.

Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.0449.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.0449 with the target of 1.0734 – 1.0856.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.0449 may trigger further decline in the pair to 1.0350 – 1.02.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the upward correction as the fourth wave of the senior level, continues. Locally it seems that the wave a of 4 is being developed, within which the wave (с), as a wedge, is being formed. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise up to 1.0734 – 1.0856. Critical level for this scenario is 1.0449.

Martin Luther King US Public Holiday

We would like to draw your attention to the trading schedule over the upcoming Martin Luther King Day in United States of America on 16th of January 2017. Please note that trading hours for some instruments will be affected.

January 16, 2017 (Monday), Martin Luther King Day, USA:

Silver: Early close 19.30
Gold: Early close 19.30
SPX, NQ, YM, NI225: Early close 19.30
FDAX, FTSE, CAC: Early close 22.30
#SBH16, #KCH16: Early close 20:00
#CTH16: Early close 21:00
USCrude: Early close 19:30
СFD_NYSE: Closed

The server time GMT +2 indicated in the schedule corresponds to the time indicated in the trading platform. Please consider this information when trading.

The instruments that are not specified in this table are traded in normal mode.

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EURUSD Forecast | Daily Technical Analysis for January 4, 2017

EURUSD Forecast | Daily Technical Analysis for January 4, 2017

EURUSD Technical Overview

Yesterday Close 1.0406
Today Open 1.0406
Day’s Range 1.0390 – 1.0424
52 wk Range 1.0341 – 1.1616
1-Year Return – 4.04%

EURUSD Technical Support and Resistance

Our Possible trading range for today 1.0390 – 1.0424

EURUSD forecast: EURUSD pair possibly will find its immediate support at 1.0354. If, market breaks the first support then it will go for the following support to test. Following supports are 1.0317 and 1.0259.

On the other side, we found immediate resistance at 1.0470 from our EURUSD technical analysis. If, market breaks the primary resistance level then, for sure market will go for the new resistance level 1.0507 and 1.0565.

EURUSD Fundamental Analysis

We had the Manufacturing PMI data from the US yesterday and that came in at a healthy 54.7 which continued the trend of good economic data coming out of the US for the past couple of months. We had mentioned that continuing good data from the US will increase the chances of a quick hike from the Fed in 2017 and this would also mean that the markets will start pricing in the hikes quicker as well. This is what we saw yesterday as the EURUSD pair crashed through 1.0400 and even broke through the December lows for a brief period. It did recover as we moved closer to the London fix and it sits just around 1.0400 as of writing this. We expect the strength of the dollar to continue to dominate the markets for today as well and this could bring yesterdays lows into the picture. A clear break of this low could push the EURUSD pair below 1.0300.

We do not have any major news from the US or the Eurozone for today. Except FOMC meetings. so the markets are likely to continue to be dominated by the flows and also by the positioning by the returning traders and also positioning ahead of the key economic reports that are scheduled to be released over the past couple of days. Traders will be viewing any decent bounce in the EURUSD pair as an opportunity to go short.

Along with eurusd technical analysis forecast, keep eye on the following economical events.

Upcoming Economic News in EUROPE: (GMT +2)

1. 10:00am EUR Spanish Unemployment Change
2. 10:15am EUR Spanish Services PMI
3. 10:45am EUR Italian Services PMI
4. 10:50am EUR French Final Services PMI
5. 10:55am EUR German Final Services PMI
6. 11:00am EUR Final Services PMI
7. 12:00pm EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y
i. EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
ii. EUR Italian Prelim CPI m/m
8. 5:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories
9. All Day USD Total Vehicle Sales

USDJPY Forecast | Daily Technical Analysis for January 4, 2017

USDJPY Forecast | Daily Technical Analysis for January 4, 2017

USDJPY Technical Overview

Yesterday Close          117.75

Today Open                117.75

Day’s Range   117.55 – 118.19

52 wk Range   99.08 – 121.70

1-Year Return – 1.25%

USDJPY Technical Support and Resistance

usdjpy forecast: usdjpy pair possibly will find the immediate support at 117.31. If, market breaks the first support then it will go for the following support to test. Following supports are 116.97 and 116.43.

On the other side the market has immediate resistance at 118.39. If, market breaks the primary resistance level then, market will go for the new resistance level 118.73 and 119.27.

Possible trading range for today 117.55 – 118.19

USDJPY Fundamental Forecast

The USDJPY pair initially broke out during the day on Tuesday but found enough resistance above the turn around and suddenly form a semi exhaustive looking candle. I still believe longer-term we go much higher, so I look at these pullbacks is value. I recognize the 115 level below as support, and essentially the “floor” in this market. I still have a target of 120, and believe that we will reach that level sooner rather than later. We have the nonfarm payroll numbers coming, and they tend to have a significant effect on this pair so it could cause it to be somewhat quiet.

USDJPY Important Economic News: (GMT +2)

  1. 5:30pm USD       Crude Oil Inventories
  2. All Day  USD       Total Vehicle Sales
  3. 9:00pm USD       FOMC Meeting Minutes

USDCAD Forecast | Daily Technical Update for January 4, 2017

USDCAD Forecast | Daily Technical Update for January 4, 2017

USDCAD Technical Overview

Yesterday Closed 1.3427
Today Open 1.3427
Day’s Range 1.3418 – 1.3458
52 wk Range 1.2458 – 1.4692
1-Year Return – 3.67%

USDCAD Technical Support and Resistance

USDCAD Forecast : USDCAD pair possibly will find the immediate support at 1.3404. If, market breaks the first support then it will go for the following support to test. Following supports are 1.3389 and 1.3363.

On the other side the market has immediate resistance 1.3456. If, market breaks the primary resistance level then, market will go for the new resistance level 1.3471 and 1.3497.

USDCAD Fundamental Analysis

The US dollar had a choppy session against the Canadian dollar on Tuesday as traders continue to come back from the holiday season. We are currently testing the 1.34 level for support, and finding it. I also recognize that the 1.35 level above will be resistive, but ultimately, I feel that the longer-term uptrend should continue. This will be especially true if oil continues to roll over like it had during the session on Tuesday, which of course works against the value of the Canadian dollar when that happens. Ultimately, I believe that we reach towards the 1.36 level again.

Along with usdcad forecast it is important to keep eye on economic.

Upcoming Important Economic News: (GMT +2)

2. 5:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories
3. All Day USD Total Vehicle Sales
4. 9:00pm USD FOMC Meeting Minutes

Forex Holidays For Xmas And New Year

We would like to draw your attention to trading schedule over the upcoming Christmas and New Year holidays from 23rd of December 2016 (Friday) to 2nd of January 2017 (Monday). Please note that trading hours for some instruments will be affected.

December 26, 2016 (Monday)
World Indices: Closed
CFD on shares: Closed
Commodities: Closed
Oil: Closed
Currency: Closed

December 27, 2016 (Tuesday)
FTSE: Closed
HK50: Closed
ASX200: Closed

December 30, 2016 (Friday)
ASX200: Early close at 05:10 (MT Server Time)
UKBrent: Early close at 19:30 (MT Server Time)
FTSE: Early close at 14:30 (MT Server Time)
HK50: Early close at 18:45 (MT Server Time)

January 2, 2017 (Monday)
World Indices: Closed
FTSE: Closed
ASX200: Closed
HK50: Closed
CFD on shares: Closed
Commodities: Closed
Oil: Closed
Currency: Closed

All information is intended for guidance only and it is a subject to change. Please, stay up to date.

Kind regards,
ForexGuru.Pk

USD/CAD Wave analysis and forecast for 30.12 – 06.01

USD/CAD Wave analysis and forecast for 30.12 – 06.01: The pair is likely to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3600.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3600 with the target of 1.3311 – 1.3074.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3600 will trigger further rise in the pair to 1.37 – 1.38.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the long-term upward correction as the wave B of the senior level correction has completed. Locally it is likely that the development of the final zigzag has completed in the diagonal triangle in the wave c of B. If this assumption is correct, the pair may continue to decline to 1.3311 – 1.3074 within the first one-two wave. Critical level for this scenario is 1.3600.

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USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast for 30.12 – 06.01

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast for 30.12 – 06.01: The pair is likely to rise.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 115.98.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 115.98 with the target of 119.60.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation of the price below the level of 115.98 will trigger the rise up to 114.00 – 113.00.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the bullish impetus in the wave С of (B) continues as part of the upward correction. Locally, it is likely that the correction as the wave iv of C has completed while the fifth wave started to develop. If this assumption is correct, the pair may rise up to 119.60. Critical level for this scenario is 115.98.

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