Tag Archives: Forex Analysis & Signals For GBPUSD

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 13.03 – 20.03: Downtrend continues.

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Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.4905.

Our opinion: In the short term: buy the pair with the target at 1.52 in case the level 1.4905 is broken. In the medium term: keep short positions with a target at 1.46 – 1.45.

Alternative scenario: Consolidation above a level of 1.5150 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the level of 1.52 as part of correction.

Analysis: The pair continued to decline.
The critical level has been broken down and, apparently, a long-term bearish impetus carries on forming. Supposedly, the fifth final wave, within which the first wave (i) is nearing completion, is forming at the present time. If the assumption is correct, local correction in a form of wave (ii) is likely to develop to a level of 1.52. The level of 1.5560 at which the fourth wave iv finishes is critical in this scenario.

GBPUSD-D1

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GBPUSD-H1

GBPUSD-H4

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 27.02 – 06.03: The pair is under correction.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.5550.

Our opinion: In the short term: sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.5550 with a target at 1.52. In the medium term, wait for correction to complete and buy the pair in the presence of confirming signals.

Alternative scenario: Consolidation above a level of 1.5550 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to levels 1.56 – 1.58.

Analysis: Presumably, the development of the first wave а of 2 under big bullish correction is completed. Correction in a form of wave b of 2 is forming locally, in a form of irregular flat surface. If the presumption is correct, after correction, the pair will logically continue to rise to the levels 1.58 – 1.60.

GBPUSD-D1

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GBPUSD-H4

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 07.11 – 14.11

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 07.11 – 14.11: Large “bullish” correction is expected in the pair.

Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.60.

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Our opinion: In the short-term: sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.60 with the target of 1.5750. In the medium-term: wait for breakout of the level of 1.60 and buy from correction above the local lows, which has been formed at this moment, with the targets of 1.6300 – 1.6475.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5750 will enable the price to continue the decline to the levels of 1.57 – 1.5650 in the bearish trend.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the wedge in the wave A continues. Locally, it seems that the fifth wave v of A is close to completion, and if this assumption is true, after breakdown of the level of 1.60, it makes sense to expect that the pair will grow in the wave B to the levels of 1.63 – 1.6470

GBPUSD-D1

GBPUSD-H4

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 19.09 – 26.09

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 19.09 – 26.09: Correction is nearing completion. The pair is likely to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6450.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 1.6450 with the target of 1.59 – 1.5850.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.6450 will make the price continue the rise up to the levels of 1.65 – 1.6550.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward impetus in the first wave of the deep medium-term correction continues. At the moment it is likely that the correction in the fourth wave is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, the pair will soon continue to drop to the levels of 1.59 – 1.5850.

GBPUSD-D1

GBPUSD-H4

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 29.08 – 05.09

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 29.08 – 05.09: Downtrend continues.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6640.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.6640 with the target of 1.64 – 1.63.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.6640 will make the price continue the rise to the levels of 1.67 – 1.68 as part of the deep correction.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward impetus in the first wave of the deep medium-term correction continues. By all appearances, the forming of the local correction in the wave iv is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.6640, the pair will continue to decline to the levels of 1.64 – 1.63.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 22.08 – 29.08

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 22.08 – 29.08: Downtrend continues.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6640.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.6640 with the target of 1.64 – 1.63.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.6640 will make the price continue the rise to the levels of 1.67 – 1.68 as part of the deep correction.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward impetus in the first wave of the deep medium-term correction continues. By all appearances, the third wave has formed, and the local correction in the wave iv has started. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.6640, the pair will continue to decline to the levels of 1.64 – 1.63.

GBPUSD-D1

GBPUSD-H4

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 22.08 – 29.08

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 22.08 – 29.08: Downtrend continues.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6640.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.6640 with the target of 1.64 – 1.63.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.6640 will make the price continue the rise to the levels of 1.67 – 1.68 as part of the deep correction.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward impetus in the first wave of the deep medium-term correction continues. By all appearances, the third wave has formed, and the local correction in the wave iv has started. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.6640, the pair will continue to decline to the levels of 1.64 – 1.63.

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GBPUSD-D1 GBPUSD-H4

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 08.08 – 15.08

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 08.08 – 15.08: Downtrend remains. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6890.

Our opinion: In the short-term: sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.6890 6925 with the target of 1.6730. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the fifth wave and in case of reversal, sell the pair with the target of 1.70.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.6890 will enable the price to continue the rise up to 1.70, as part of correction.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward momentum in the first one-two, one-two wave of the deep medium-term correction continues. It seems at the moment that the formation of the fourth wave has completed and the fifth, final wave is being formed. If this assumption is correct, after the completion of the fifth wave the pair will go up undergoing correction in the wave ii.

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GBPUSD-D1

GBPUSD-H4

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Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (August 4 – 8, 2014)‏

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Here’s the market outlook for this week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair has continued its southward journey with price breaking below the resistance line at 1.3400. This level is a war zone between bulls and bears, so price will be making some attempts to get back above it. Should the initial resistance line get broken and price moves up, another resistance line at 1.3450 will act as a secondary hurdle for the bulls, so any break above 1.3450 will pose a serious threat to the bearish trend. Meanwhile, the bearish trend seems likely to continue, pushing price towards the support lines at 1.3350 and 1.3300.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
As forecast last week, USD/CHF was able to test the resistance level at 0.9100. This is an area where some bulls will want to take profits, as price ought to drop at least some way from there. For the bullish journey to continue, price needs to break that resistance level, going towards another resistance level at 0.9150. If this fails to occur, a near-term or medium-term bearish run is likely to begin.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Cable dropped by about 120 pips this week, and the bearish outlook is currently strong – forming a clean Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart. This means a high probability of price continuing even further downwards, testing the accumulation territories at 1.6850 and 1.6800 respectively – especially with the distribution territories at 1.6950 and 1.7000 acting as impediment to any rallies along the way.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The Greenback is strong, so it is no wonder that USD/JPY rallied – especially in the face of Yen weakness. This market has tested the supply level at 103.00, which must be broken before any serious northward movement can continue. However, some deep pullbacks towards the demand levels at 102.50 and 102.00 are possible.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
EUR itself is not that strong but, as a result of exponential weakness in JPY, EUR/JPY has been able to reject its recent bearish bias, paving way for a new bullish signal. As long as price stays above the demand zone at 137.00, a bullish signal will make sense, and price could then even go up towards the supply zone at 138.00.

I’d like to conclude this forecast with the following quote:

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 25.07 – 01.08

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.7191.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.7191 with the target of 1.6830 – 1.6720.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.7191 will enable the price to continue the rise up to 1.73.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the ascending momentum in the fifth final wave of the senior level V of 5 of C has completed. At the moment it is possible that the first one-two, one-two wave of the large “bearish” correction is being formed. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.7191, the pair will continue the decline to the levels of 1.6830 – 1.6720.

GBPUSD-D1

GBPUSD-H4

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 10.07 – 18.07

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 10.07 – 18.07: The pair is likely to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.7180.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 1.7083 with the target of 1.69 – 1.68.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of1.7180 will enable the price to continue the rise up to the level of 1.73.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the ascending momentum in the fifth final wave of the senior level has completed. At the moment it is possible that the price is forming the reversal and small in-lead downward waves. If this assumption is correct, and the price does not break down the critical level of 1.7180, the pair will go down to the levels of 1.70 – 1.69. Otherwise, the price will go up to the level of 1.73 and the pattern of the fifth wave will extend.

GBPUSD-D1

GBPUSD-H4

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