GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 04.07 – 11.07: Uptrend is nearing completion. The pair is likely to start long-term decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.71.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 1.71 with the target of 1.69 – 1.68.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.72 will enable the price to continue the rise up to the level of 1.73.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the ascending momentum in the fifth final wave of the senior level is nearing completion. At the moment, the fifth wave of the junior level is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, in the near future the pair may start the decline.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 27.06 – 04.07: Ascending trend in the pair is nearing completion. It is likely that long-term decline in the pair will begin.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6950.

Our opinion: In the short-term: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.6950 with the target of 1.7080. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the fifth wave and the reversal and sell the pair with the target of 1.66 or lower.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.6950 will enable the price to continue the decline to the levels of 1.67 – 1.66.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the ascending momentum in the fifth final wave of the senior level is nearing completion. At the moment, the fifth wave of the junior level is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, the pair may decline in the long-term.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 20.06 – 27.06: Uptrend in the pair continues. There is a chance of the local correction.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6917.

Our opinion: In the short-term: wait for the completion of the fifth wave v of (iii) and the reversal and then sell the pair with the target of 1.6950 and stop-loss near the local highs. In the medium-term: wait for the formation of the fourth wave (iv) and sell the pair above the level of 1.6917 with the target of 1.71.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.6917 will enable the price to continue the decline to the level of 1.67 – 1.66.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the ascending momentum in the fifth final wave of the senior level is still ongoing. At the moment the third wave of the junior level is nearly completed, within which the fifth wave v of (iii) is close to completion. If this assumption is correct, in the near future the pair will continue to decline in the fourth wave of the senior level towards the level of 1.6917. Critical level for this scenario is 1.6917.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 13.06 – 20.06: Uptrend in the pair will continue.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6850.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.6850 with the target of 1.71.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.6850 will enable the price to continue the decline to the level of 1.67 – 1.66.

Analysis: The price has broken down the critical level, proposed in the previous scenario of the decline in the pair and continued to form the uptrend. It is likely that on the daily timeframe the diagonal will formed in the fifth wave and locally the fifth final wave of the long-term uptrend is being developed. If this assumption is correct, in the short-term the pair will continue to grow to the upper line of the diagonal at 1.71. Critical level for this scenario is 1.648.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 23.05 – 30.05: The pair is likely to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6995.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 1.6995 with the target of 1.6650.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.6995 will enable the price to continue the rise up to the level of 1.71.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the upward correction in the second wave has completed. Currently, the wave has a shape of a zigzag. Locally, it is not excluded that the decline in the third wave has started. If this assumption is correct, it makes sense to expect that in the near future the pair will fall to the level of 1.6650. Critical level for this scenario is 1.6995.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 25.04 – 02.05: The pair continues to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6760.
Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.6760 with the target of 1.70.
Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.6760 will enable the price to continue decline to the levels of 1.67 – 1.66.
Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the fifth final wave of the ascending zigzag continues on the daily timeframe. Locally, it is possible that extension in the fifth shallow wave (v) of V of C is being formed. If this assumption is correct the pair will continue to grow to the level of 1.70.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 25.04 – 02.05: The pair is likely to decline.

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Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6845.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 1.6845 with the targets of 1.6750 – 1.67.

Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.6845 will allow the price to continue growth to the level of 1.70.

Analysis: It is not excluded that the formation of a zigzag ABC on the daily timeframe has completed. Locally it is assumed that the first wave of the long-term downtrend is being formed. If this assumption is correct, and current correction does not break down critical level of 1.6843, it makes sense to expect the decline in the pair to the levels of 1.6750 – 1.67. Otherwise, growth in the pair will resume and wave structure of the fifth wave will continue to extend to the level of 1.70.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 11.04 – 18.04: The pair is likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6556.

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Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.6750 with the target of 1.6880 – 1.70.

Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.6750 will allow the price to continue decline to the level of 1.6670 as part of correction in the fourth (iv) wave.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the long-term uptrend, which is likely to take a shape of a zigzag ABC is still ongoing. Locally, the fifth final wave is being formed, within which the third wave (iii) has been formed in the junior wave level. Critical level for this scenario is 1.6556.

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GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 04.04 – 11.04: The pair is likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.6460.

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Our opinion: Buy the pair on the pullbacks at the level of 1.6560 with the target of 1.70.

Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level1.6545 will allow the price to continue decline to the level of 1.6460. This decline can put under threat estimated development of the bullish scenario.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the long-term uptrend, which is likely to take a shape of a zigzag ABC is still ongoing. Locally, the fifth final wave is being formed, within which a lead-in structure 1-2 has been formed in the junior wave level. If this assumption is true, in the nearest future, rise in the pair will continue in the third wave.

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